Historical Results and Evaluation
WealthGlider evaluates completed historical signal records against a defined price-movement threshold and time window. This page explains the calculation and its limits before presenting any statistic as evidence. It is not a portfolio-performance report or a forecast.
The evaluation question
For a Buy classification, the research question is whether the observed price path reaches the defined positive 10% threshold during the following 30 trading sessions. A Sell classification uses the corresponding negative 10% threshold over the same window. The label describes this research objective; it is not an order instruction, target price, or promise.
When a result is eligible
The reference price is the official close on the publication market date. A record remains TBD while fewer than 30 later trading sessions have been observed. It enters the completed-rate calculation only after the target is touched or the full window ends. The target-hit rate is Hits divided by Hits plus Misses for the selected classification and period; TBD and unscorable records are excluded from both sides of the fraction.
Live tracking began August 21, 2026. Early live cohorts may therefore remain incomplete until their full 30-trading-session windows mature. Incomplete records remain TBD rather than becoming failures. WealthGlider does not turn partial cohorts into a headline accuracy claim.
What the result does not measure
- It is not the return of a customer account, model portfolio, or managed investment strategy.
- A threshold touch does not prove that an order could have been filled at that price.
- Unless expressly stated, it excludes commissions, spreads, slippage, market impact, taxes, borrowing costs, subscription fees, liquidity constraints, position sizing, and compounding.
- It does not remove survivorship, selection, look-ahead, data-snooping, overfitting, or market-regime risk.
- Past, hypothetical, or observational outcomes do not predict future results.
Inspect the available evidence
The signed-in Historical Signal Evaluation displays aggregate Buy, Sell, and combined target-hit series for an available window or date range, together with data-update information and calculation limitations. Backend corrections, source-data changes, eligibility rules, or methodology changes can revise those values.
Methodology, revisions, and questions
Read the Signal Methodology and Risk Disclosure for the complete interpretation and risk framework. Material corrections should retain the original record and explain the change rather than silently rewriting history.
If a published result appears inaccurate or lacks material context, use the content correction process.